Sample Means From Normal Populations

When a sample is drawn from a normal population, the sample mean is itself normally distributed. This lesson establishes that distributional fact and uses it to compute probabilities about the sample mean by standardizing.

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The Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean

Let X1,X2,,XnX_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n be i.i.d. random variables drawn from a normal population with mean μ\mu and variance σ2\sigma^2. The sample mean is

Xˉ=X1+X2++Xnn.\bar{X} = \dfrac{X_1 + X_2 + \cdots + X_n}{n}.

Sums of independent normal variables are normal, and scaling a normal variable keeps it normal, so Xˉ\bar{X} is also normally distributed. Its mean is μ\mu and its variance is σ2/n\sigma^2/n:

XˉN ⁣(μ,  σ2n).\bar{X} \sim N\!\left(\mu,\; \dfrac{\sigma^2}{n}\right).

The center is unchanged, but the variance shrinks by a factor of nn. The standard deviation of Xˉ\bar{X}, namely σ/n\sigma/\sqrt{n}, is called the standard error of the sample mean.

For example, if XiN(50,16)X_i \sim N(50, 16) and we average n=4n = 4 of them, then

XˉN ⁣(50,  164)=N(50,4),\bar{X} \sim N\!\left(50,\; \dfrac{16}{4}\right) = N(50, 4),

with standard error σ/n=4/2=2\sigma/\sqrt{n} = 4/2 = 2.

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