The Bivariate Normal Distribution

Defines the bivariate normal distribution via its joint PDF, derives its marginal distributions, links zero correlation with independence in the jointly normal setting, and computes probabilities for linear combinations of bivariate normal random variables.

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Introduction

Two random variables XX and YY have a bivariate normal distribution with parameters (μX,μY,σX2,σY2,ρ)(\mu_X, \mu_Y, \sigma_X^2, \sigma_Y^2, \rho) if their joint PDF is

fX,Y(x,y)=12πσXσY1ρ2exp ⁣(Q(x,y)2(1ρ2)),f_{X,Y}(x,y) = \dfrac{1}{2\pi\sigma_X\sigma_Y\sqrt{1-\rho^2}}\exp\!\left(-\dfrac{Q(x,y)}{2(1-\rho^2)}\right),

where

Q(x,y)=(xμXσX) ⁣22ρ ⁣(xμXσX) ⁣(yμYσY)+(yμYσY) ⁣2.Q(x,y) = \left(\dfrac{x-\mu_X}{\sigma_X}\right)^{\!2} - 2\rho\!\left(\dfrac{x-\mu_X}{\sigma_X}\right)\!\left(\dfrac{y-\mu_Y}{\sigma_Y}\right) + \left(\dfrac{y-\mu_Y}{\sigma_Y}\right)^{\!2}.

The parameters σX,σY>0\sigma_X, \sigma_Y > 0 are the standard deviations and ρ(1,1)\rho \in (-1,1) is the correlation between XX and YY. We write (X,Y)N2(μX,μY,σX2,σY2,ρ).(X,Y) \sim \mathcal{N}_2(\mu_X, \mu_Y, \sigma_X^2, \sigma_Y^2, \rho).

Equivalently, the distribution is specified by the mean vector and covariance matrix

μ=[μXμY],Σ=[σX2ρσXσYρσXσYσY2].\boldsymbol{\mu} = \begin{bmatrix} \mu_X \\ \mu_Y \end{bmatrix}, \qquad \Sigma = \begin{bmatrix} \sigma_X^2 & \rho\sigma_X\sigma_Y \\ \rho\sigma_X\sigma_Y & \sigma_Y^2 \end{bmatrix}.

Notice that Q(μX,μY)=0,Q(\mu_X, \mu_Y) = 0, so the density attains its peak value at the center:

fX,Y(μX,μY)=12πσXσY1ρ2.f_{X,Y}(\mu_X, \mu_Y) = \dfrac{1}{2\pi\sigma_X\sigma_Y\sqrt{1-\rho^2}}.
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