The Sample Mean

Introduces the sample mean of i.i.d. observations and derives its expected value and variance. Establishes that the sample mean is unbiased for the population mean and that its standard deviation (the standard error) shrinks as the square root of the sample size.

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The Sample Mean and Its Expectation

Suppose we have nn observations X1,X2,,XnX_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n drawn independently from the same distribution. We call such observations independent and identically distributed, or i.i.d. for short.

The sample mean is the average of these observations:

Xˉ=1ni=1nXi=X1+X2++Xnn.\bar{X} = \dfrac{1}{n}\sum\limits_{i=1}^n X_i = \dfrac{X_1 + X_2 + \cdots + X_n}{n}.

If each XiX_i has expected value E[Xi]=μ,E[X_i] = \mu, then by linearity of expectation,

E[Xˉ]=E ⁣[1ni=1nXi]=1ni=1nE[Xi]=1nnμ=μ.E[\bar{X}] = E\!\left[\dfrac{1}{n}\sum\limits_{i=1}^n X_i\right] = \dfrac{1}{n}\sum\limits_{i=1}^n E[X_i] = \dfrac{1}{n}\cdot n\mu = \mu.

The expected value of the sample mean equals the population mean. We say that Xˉ\bar{X} is an unbiased estimator of μ.\mu.

For instance, if X1,,X8X_1,\ldots,X_8 are i.i.d. with E[Xi]=5,E[X_i]=5, then E[Xˉ]=5.E[\bar{X}]=5.

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